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Title
Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change with High Resolution
WRF Model and Assimilation of multi-Sensor Remote Sensing and In-Situ Data
Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting is a challenging
problem in both the research and operational communities. With the
advanced research version of the WRF model, several case studies
are conducted to investigate two main problems: 1) What are the
factors limiting the TC intensity forecast? 2) To what extent can
data assimilation helps improve the TC intensity forecast? To
achieve the above goals, high resolution numerical simulations are
performed. Comprehensive satellite and in-situ data sets,
collected from the NASA Tropical Cloud Systems and Processes
(TCSP) Experiment, are assimilated into the WRF model with its
3DVAR system. The results show that the forecast of TC intensity
is highly sensitive to the physical parameterizations in the WRF
model. It is also indicated that the WRF model has a problem
capturing the rapid intensity change of TCs. The QuikSCAT ocean
surface winds, GOES-11 AMVs, dropsonde data, and airborne Doppler
radar data from the TCSP mission show significant impacts on the
storm vortex structure and environmental features. The enhanced
data has greatly improved the intensity, track, and precipitation
forecasts of TCs.
Location
World Weather Building, Conference Room 707
Title
Data Assimilation Advancements in the Air Force's Land Information System